Week 3 Predictions

Alex is currently leading the pack and I am yet to get a prediction for him correct - I will obviously now switch to predicting a win for him whatever the odds.

This week is Mission 3 - Search and Destroy/Take and Hold/Hidden Supplies. Frankly I hate this mission, always have, always will. Shit heads always taking more balanced armies do better than me.

Sam V Jack

Prediction: Jack

Obviously I wrote this before we played and he angrily unclothed me, took me to a broken down alley and had his wicked way with me. I predict that I will still be struggling to walk two days after the game.

I also predict that Operation Whirlwind will prove itself to be a failure and in a rage I may consider dropping Guilliman and just running 11/12 tanks going forward.

Shit game.

Alex V Sean

Prediction: Alex

I have zero doubt that Alex will run away with this one scoring 100 points to Sean's 10. Good that should sort out the fate of this game right?

Sean has wildcarded for this game, as has Alex (free due to codex). Sean has dropped the Deceiver for Szeras and...stuff. Alex has the shiny new codex and will be running the Jetbike detachment. I got a taste of the Windrunner output at the weekend at its more than I expected to be honest - 13 wounds straight off the GUO. I definitely don't think the Nightbringer is safe against this sort of volume. However the elves do still have an issue holding primary, alleviated slightly by this mission. I think that the Windrunners will be able to take out the Ctan and Wraiths, if Sean isn't careful so perhaps early pressure is worth it but I lost to Jack so what do I know.

Tom V Chris

Prediction: Chris

I believe Hidden Supplies will force Tom to spread his forces too thinly to compete on Primary with Chris and his bricks of Krieg. This in turn will allow Chris to punish the many Rubrics. I don't think Rubrics clear Krieg but I could be wrong and that will likely decide it. Commit too early and the Rubrics go bye bye to Scions and TCs, commit too late and the primary will be a hard climb back.

Oblits will be needed to get the TCs down is my prediction so it will depend if Chris can screen them out of Melta range effectively. It is going to be an interesting game I think and could be very close.

Mike V Dan

Prediction: Mike

So Mike now has dedicated himself fully to the workings of Fabius Bile with lots of chop and not much pew. I respect this. Dan, the man who coined the "uppydowny" phrase, is bringing plenty of durable lads and a Land Raider. I also respect this.

What do I do with all this respect when I have to choose a winner? I think I have to discount Dan as his focus on mathematical efficiency, ELO scores and meta chasing just simply shouldn't be rewarded.

While the -1 save is always nice to use against SM I do wonder if the -1 WS/BS would really blunt the big hammer units into the Plague Legions lines? Big move blocks with the LR and PBCs could make it hard to bring the brutal hitting power of the Bile Boys to bear.

The +2" movement is probably less relevant in this matchup for Mike as DG are so slow - getting to Str 6 would be a big break point for Chosen and Possessed against Deathshroud etc so that could be more important.

I think the mass of choppy boys is likely to overwhelm the lines. Some Fights First PMs would have been savage here!

Kyle V Max

Prediction: Kyle

Now this is no comment on either player's ability but Kyle is running fucking 25 Purifiers and 4 Dreadknights (all armed with big flamers). This is THE anti-infantry list. Max happens to be running a great deal of infantry.

So it will essentially come down to Max working out a game plan that is different to normal - I think running forward with infiltrating infantry won't work here as Kyle can reliably pick up three IA units a turn, if not four. I dont know what that plan is. Perhaps baiting out Purifiers to be smashed up with DWKTs in response? It is going to be really hard to stop the Purifiers getting where they need to be. Defence might be the best offence here.

Mark V Angus

Prediction: Mark

If and when Angus remembers to use his key Rituals and Strats every turn of a game I will 100% start predicting wins for him. And all of us at Hobby Henchmen are hoping that one day that perfect storm happens. Likelihood will be that it happens on his last game before getting the Blood Angels on the table.

Until that fated moment I think Calgar and his lads are gonna get the narrow win here.

Also our next HH t-shirt printing run is gonna have "If Angus wins we riot".

Ross V Freddie

Prediction: Ross

I don't think this matchup is terrible for Freddie or anything he just has a fucking abysmal record while playing at the club. Perfectly capable of strong performances at big GTs but I assume Lisa's potent sexual energy just throws his rhythm.

Freddie has fuck loads of OC and can compete with the Armigers just fine however Ross' big lads are probably also quite effective at removing said OC.

I think it is likely that Freddie goes less lunatic aggressive than he did against Chris as the staying power obviously gives out as the rounds go by.

The advantage Freddie has is that I would bet Ross has zero heart for playing his Knights right now as all his Aeldari packages arrive in the post.

Craig V Ben

Prediction: Craig

This could be a closer game now Ben has returned to his less mental list however I am pretty sure I see the nails biting when Ben plays. "Push it all forward. Angron will be fine. You have a FNP, no one can touch us!" they whisper and Ben loves to listen. Ben is a World Eaters player through and through.

Craig has already used two Wildcards, suggesting a man of wild indecision (I am certainly not planning my second right now...) and feelings of impotency. While impotence is something we all guessed about Craig I believe his current list is stronger than it has been before and has the capability to weather the WE charge.

Ben has some recent practice into DG so we can see if that has any influence or if he listens to the voices.

Neil V Gray

Prediction: Gray

Although I don't think any of us have met Gray yet he is clearly performing below his usual standards. I am expecting him to come out of the gate swinging his aggressively small manhood. It isn't about the size, however, it is more the attitude and Gray has that in spades.

Neil is still fairly fresh back to the scene and, while the army is killy, I am not sure it has the ability to keep CK off 15 Primary a turn.